Crunching some numbers here. The 2009 nfl season on sunday started with 13 games last year, of those 13 games there was 3 road favorites, or better yet 3 home dogs.(The old golden rule for nfl betting was always take the home dog and never lay more then 8 points with the home fav)
Game 1- Philly -1 they covered by 27
Game 2 – Minny -4 they covered by 10
Game 3 – Dallas -4.5 they covered by 8.5
This year week 1 sunday there are 7 road favorites, with all but 1 of them with a 60%+ consensus on the road favorite. Im still a big believer in home field advantage, and fading the public. We will have to see how this year pans out. I would not be surprised with Joe winning 4 to 5 of the 7 this year either.