Day: September 8, 2010

Crunching some numbers here.  The 2009 nfl season on sunday started with 13 games last year, of those 13 games there was 3 road favorites, or better yet 3 home dogs.(The old golden rule for nfl betting was always take the home dog and never lay more then 8 points with the home fav)

Game 1- Philly -1 they covered by 27

Game 2 – Minny -4 they covered by 10

Game 3 – Dallas -4.5 they covered by 8.5

This year week 1 sunday there are 7 road favorites, with all but 1 of them with a 60%+ consensus on the road favorite. Im still a big believer in home field advantage, and fading the public. We will have to see how this year pans out. I would not be surprised with Joe winning 4 to 5 of the 7 this year either.

The under in the south carolina game was a tough loss. Ended up with an Ea$y winner with michigan, but pushed on purdue only getting 11 where some might have gotten 11.5, but feel fortunate to push on Lsu where i got them at 6 (earlier in the day/week could have had a better number) was in vegas all weekend, back to reality and will be updating the posts more efficiently. I have always felt that week 1 of college is for suckers anyways. Joe public always wins. Along with weeks 1-3 of the NFL where all the sucker bets come in. Wil be releasing a play on tomorrow nights game.