Month: September 2010

Florida vs. Tennessee 3:30pm Saturday 9/18

So far this season the only thing that Florida has shown is that they are not the same team as years past with sloppy and very uninspired play. Going on the road for the first time this season Neyland Stadium is not where you want to be. With a 3:30 start and a chip on their shoulder after last weeks poor second half performance Tennessee will be more than fired up for this game. With 105,000 fans behind them Tennessee will look to run the ball, control the clock and the game. With this starting SEC play for the year I don’t see this one getting out of hand and think that Tennessee could win this one outright. Between the off the field drama of recent with Florida and one of the hardest stadiums to travel to take the points and the volunteers in this spot.
ALSO, Florida is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 SEC games. Tennessee is 7-3 ATS in the same role.

Pick: TENNESSEE +14.5

One TD loss on the total, will release a play for Saturday. Cincinnati’s offense was pathetic. If a few bounces went the other way the over would have hit easily.

Cincinnati NC State Over 54.5

Both teams defenses have played well to start the year, but neither have faced quality teams. Fresno put up 28 vs cincy in week 1, and if nc state can do at least that the game should easily go over the total. Both teams are coming off a short week and this gives the advantage to the offenses. Expecting  close game, and wouldn’t be surprised to see overtime which = points. As for friday night love Cal -2.5 locking that play in today to save the hook on that number.

California -2.5

NFL Lines For Week 2 – NFL Football Line Week Two
NFL Line 9/19 – 9/20, 2010

The Teasers was a lock, had to sweat out the ravens +1.5 but all in all a great start to the week. May have an MLB play here or there but doing our homework on Thursday nights game between Cincy and NC State. Week 2 nfl write up will be posted as well!

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qx4j8OhBt8E[/youtube]

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BbCEOD0xbmM&feature=related[/youtube]

Baltimore Ravens +1.5

2 Team 6pt Teaser:

Ravens +7.5

Chiefs +10.5

Usually not a huge fan of teasers but these spreads just fit perfect. Now lets go eat a goddam snack!  BOL

3 wins 5 losses on the week. would hope to get off to a better start but it is all about money management and learning which teams are for real right now.

As for the home dogs this weekend, 4 out of the 7 covered the spread and actually all 4 won outright. Arizona, Miami, and Green Bay were the 3 road favorites that covered.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isgIz8aKrkk[/youtube]

Got off to a decent start yesterday with South Carolina and Oklahoma covering and it looked like The U was going to backdoor cover but they couldnt get Terrelle Pryor off the field. The night games started out decent as well,  but both home dogs getting 10+ points decided not to show up in the 2nd half.

Sundays Plays

1:00pm Indianapolis -1.5

night game play to follow

From the first drive of the game there was no way in hell of west virginia covering.

Saturday

12:00 South Carolina -3

3:30 Oklahoma -7

3:40 Miami +8

7:00 Tennessee +11

7:00 Vanderbilt +10

fade away!!

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TV9-owEJdAk&feature=related[/youtube]

Even with reverse line movement/ the line holding steady at 12.5 with 80% on WV. The Mountaineers are the play. Think they have too much speed at all positions but especially the running game. As long as Geno Smith manages the passing game, should be an easy cover for WV.

West Virginia -12.5